segunda-feira, 31 de maio de 2021


Daily FX
Nick Cawley

The cryptocurrency market is on the back foot ahead of a long weekend in a raft of countries, including the UK and the US, and with volatility levels still high, whippy price action over the coming days cannot be discounted. The current market capitalization is around $1.6 trillion and is nearly 40% off its all-time peak, highlighting that the recent heavy losses have not been pulled back to any great extent. Traders need to be aware that low volume and high volatility markets are ripe for large swings, and with sentiment in the cryptocurrency market still dented, further losses cannot be ruled out.

JOMO is the New FOMO: Trade with the Joy of Missing Out

Bitcoin continues to struggle and any rally will have to overcome the 200-day simple moving average which is currently capping BTC/USD. Bitcoin has not been below the 200-dsma for over a year, so the recent breakdown remains worrying. The 200-day sma currently sits around $40,700. Volatility levels are off their recent extremes but remain high at $4,650 compared to a spot price of $37,000.

The Ethereum chart looks a little more positive than Bitcoins and highlights the positive performance of the ETH/BTC spread this year. ETH remains above its 200-day sma by a large margin, although the recent slip below the 50-dsma is a short-term negative. If this can be regained, then $3,000 should be achieved relatively quickly. Again, volatility is high at $443 against a spot price of $2,600.The alt-coin market remains depressed with any move higher being sold into. It looks like the hot-money crowd has veered away from the alt-coin space and moved back into meme stocks. AMC Entertainment has more than doubled in the last week, alongside massive option volume, while another meme favorite GameStop is up by nearly 50%. It will need Bitcoin, and increasingly Ethereum, to steady and then push ahead to draw the fast money crown back to the alt-coin space.

Traders of all levels and abilities will find something to help them make more informed decisions in the new and improved DailyFX Trading Education Centre

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Cryptocurrency: Breaking Down the Basics.

Yahoo Finance
Andrew Lisa

If you asked 10 random people if they ever used cryptocurrency, you’d likely get 10 nos, but it seems like the digital alt-money is trending more every day. It’s easy to understand why. Bitcoin, the first and most famous cryptocurrency, is the investment story of the decade and perhaps of all time. Bitcoin was worth a fraction of a cent when it first emerged in 2009. In March 2021, it peaked above $60,000. When a penny turns into a Porsche in a little more than a decade, it tends to draw attention. Here’s what you need to know about cryptocurrency.

Cryptocurrency: The Basics

Cryptocurrency is often described as a “digital asset,” but don’t mistake it for a digitized version of cash like the kind you spend with PayPal. You can pay for things with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, just like dollars, yen and euros, but the difference is that those and all other traditional currencies are issued and backed by central authorities like governments or banks.The Economy and Your Money: All You Need To Know

Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are not. Instead, they’re awarded as digital tokens to “miners” for their work in maintaining blockchains, the encrypted ledgers where cryptocurrency ownership is recorded, stored and validated.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH): How’s It Differ From Bitcoin and What’s It Worth?

Cryptocurrency is:

  • Decentralized, traded on a peer-to-peer basis and exchanged with neither the scrutiny nor the security that comes with a central authority like a bank or government

  • Anonymous — privacy is one of crypto’s primary selling points

  • Secured in a special digital wallet, not a bank account

Crypto Is Coming Into Its Own — and Bitcoin Is Still Boss

Cryptocurrency is not yet a realistic day-to-day alternative to money as the world knows it for the average person, but it has certainly come a long way from its early days in the online underground. Most recently, Visa announced it would accept cryptocurrency. Before that, PayPal added crypto capabilities to its own platform. Everyone from Burger King to accepts it as payment and several big, publicly traded companies — most notably Tesla — have added large crypto positions to their portfolios.

But it’s not just big corporations. A 2020 HSB study found that more than one-third of small- and medium-sized businesses accept cryptocurrency, too.

Find Out: What Is Chainlink and Why Is It Important in the World of Cryptocurrency?

Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency and it’s still the most widely known and widely used by far. Its success has spawned thousands of crypto spinoffs. Among the best-known challengers are Ethereum and Binance Coin, but Bitcoin is still the king of the hill. In fact, all cryptocurrencies that aren’t Bitcoin are known collectively as “altcoin.”

Read: Dogecoin: Is It a Worthwhile Investment?

Should You Invest?

Bitcoin’s first decade was a story of fairytale gains spun out of pinball-machine volatility that would send the average investor scrambling for cover. Along with wild price swings, the first years of cryptocurrency were riddled with headline-grabbing cases of fraud, theft, hacking and other scandals.

Ethereum (ETH): What It Is, What It’s Worth and Should You Be Investing?

Not only is crypto investing a highly speculative and turbulent undertaking, but the actual process of investing is unfamiliar and outside the mainstream. Unlike the stock market, which is heavily regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission, there is no central authority that oversees the exchange of cryptocurrency. Some crypto exchanges are regulated, some are not. Big ones like Coinbase and Kraken are located in the U.S. Many others are scattered across the globe.

Since the SEC doesn’t recognize the exchanges where cryptocurrency is traded, there are no ETFs that track cryptocurrency directly the way there are for gold and traditional currency. So-called crypto ETFs only track companies that are indirectly connected to cryptocurrency.

Read: The Hype Around NFTs: What Are They? And How Pricey Do They Get?

In short, crypto is still fast-lane investing that constitutes a minority position, if any, in most portfolios. What can be said today that could not in years past, however, is that it’s now clear that cryptocurrency is here to stay.

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Bitcoin: Terrible Technicals, Could Collapse Back To $20K Soon.

Seeking Alpha


I wrote an article three weeks ago explaining why I was shorting the Bitcoin (BTC-USD) bubble. Many investors who followed my trade have made a nice profit during the last three weeks. Three days ago, I wrote another article to explain the fundamental causes of the recent 50% collapse in Bitcoin price and what could happen next. Many readers asked about my view on Bitcoin's technicals. As such, in this article, I will focus on the technical analysis and share what I am planning to do.

What happened to Bitcoin in May?

As I explained during my previous article, Bitcoin's price movement is following the textbook market psychology chart.

At the moment, Bitcoin's macro trend clearly indicates it is in a bear market, and Bitcoin is in the "denial phase" of the market psychology. Many Bitcoin influencers in Youtube and Seeking Alpha are completely ignoring the extremely bearish technicals and claiming this is somehow a normal level of correction, and Bitcoin will start roaring back to an all-time-high in few weeks. Even though that is possible, based on the extremely negative fundamentals (government regulation, ESG concerns, alt-coin dilution, Musk U-turn) and terrible chart pattern, I think it is more likely for Bitcoin to collapse back to the $15K range. In fact, Bitcoin is now significantly closer to $0 than to $100K.

In this article, I will explain what I think is the key resistance level that both Bitcoin bulls and bears should focus on before making any decisions.During the last 2 weeks, after the massive $40K to $30K collapse, Bitcoin was able to rally and recover its losses and move back to the $40K mark. However, when Bitcoin reached $40K with an extremely strong bullish momentum, it has lost its momentum and has been hovering around the $40K resistance during the last few days. It seems like bulls really want to break the $40K mark, but there are lots of selling pressure that is constantly hammering down the bullish momentum.

If the $40K resistance breaks down, I think Bitcoin can easily collapse back to the $20-30k range in a heartbeat. I think this $40K mark is an important short-term resistance that Bitcoin bulls need to hold during the next few weeks. This is because, during the February bull market, $40K has been a key technical point where bulls needed several attempts to break above. In my opinion, the bulls were able to break that resistance because of Elon Musk and Tesla catalyst, Tesla buying 1.5Bn worth of Bitcoin.

If Bitcoin could go above the $40K mark and hold, there is a probability that Bitcoin can rise back to the $45-50K region. I think the $45-50K region would be the most important key resistance that will determine Bitcoin's fate.

Key resistance: 45-50K resistance, why it is importantThe $45-50k resistance is an important number to keep in mind for both bulls and bears because of two reasons:

  • First, this range was the key resistance that Bitcoin bulls had to attempt multiple times to break this march.
  • Secondly, during the 2018 Bitcoin cycle, Bitcoin collapsed down to the $13K mark and rebounded back to $18K, which represents around 50% dead-cat bounce. Moreover, altcoins rallied close to 70% after the massive collapse around this time. Using 2018 price movement as a guide, 50-70% bounce from the $28-30K, 2021 low would be $45-51K
  • Can Bitcoin Bubble Continue?

    If Bitcoin breaks through the $45-50K mark and continuously goes up to the $55-60K mark like what we have seen during the Bitcoin rally in Q1 2021, I think there is a probability that Bitcoin could continue its bull-run to $100K. Since Bitcoin does not have cash flow, dividends, yields, or use-case other than speculation, Bitcoin's price absolutely depends on what someone else is willing to pay. This means the upside is unlimited, and any price above $0 is an overvaluation for Bitcoin.

    My Plan

    In order to profit from a bear market, I believe investors should short the rips and cover at the key resistance levels. As I explained, I wouldn't be surprised to see Bitcoin going up to the $45K mark, considering the technical pattern. However, considering the bearish fundamentals and the weak momentum that I am repeatedly observing, I don't think Bitcoin could defend the $45K resistance for a long time. I think it is more likely for bears to drive it back down under $30K. I think $45K would be the point where investors who want to bet on Bitcoin's further decline could start shorting it. If Bitcoin collapses under $40K, I think the key downside resistance could be around $30K and $20K. I think $29-31K could be the point where TSLA purchased Bitcoin, depending on the time of the purchase. It is a probability that Elon Musk may write bullish tweets to defend TSLA's cost base, or Tesla (TSLA) may liquidate its Bitcoin position when the Bitcoin price nears the cost base. Even if Elon Musk decides to defend Bitcoin through his Twitter account, I think Elon Musk's Bitcoin pump is losing its efficacy. For example, Elon Musk's recent positive tweet regarding Bitcoin miners only drove Bitcoin price by $1,000-1,500, and the rally died off very quickly. If Bitcoin bears realize that Elon Musk is no longer a threat, then they will short Bitcoin more aggressively, driving Bitcoin price to another heinous decline. After breaking the $30K resistance, I expect Bitcoin to fall to the $19-20K level, which is Bitcoin's 2018 bubble peak. At this point, the risk of shorting outweighs the potential gain; therefore, I am planning on covering my shorts.


    Bitcoin is a speculative bubble and driven by irrational market psychology. It is extremely important for investors to set a clear stop-loss and a target price before shorting the bubble, as unexpected swings in Bitcoin prices could cause a forced liquidation. My main concern is some type of unexpected catalyst taking place out of nowhere that causes a 20-30% jump in Bitcoin prices. I think investors with a very high-risk tolerance should short Bitcoin. My advice for other investors who are not willing to take this level of risk is to stay on the sidelines and sell their Bitcoin position as I expect Bitcoin price to go much lower from here.


    As I predicted in my previous article on May 5th, Bitcoin has collapsed more than 50% in less than 3 weeks. Bitcoin continuously failed to defend the $40K resistance after it bounced back to the $35-40K region after it went below $30K. It is highly probable that the Bitcoin Bear market is not over and it could fall considerably more from this level. I think Bitcoin is mostly driven by retail momentum and exotic catalysts. As such, in order to profit from trading Bitcoin, being a nimble technician who can read key technical trends and market psychology is extremely important. Both Bitcoin's chart pattern and catalysts during May were extremely bearish. The macro chart pattern clearly indicates that the Bitcoin bull market is over. During the bull market, investors should buy the dips and seek to climb the mountain higher, but during the bearish downward, investors should think about shorting the bubble and glide down the mountain rather than trying to climb up. The key resistance to me is $45-51K based on the previous dead-cat bounce of Bitcoin and other altcoins in 2018. I think $45-51K would be a pivotal entry point for Bitcoin shorts. If this pivotal resistance breaks down and Bitcoin collapses down further, the target price for my short position would be $30K and $20K.

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Brazil govt debt to fall this year, budget deficit below 3% -econ minister.

Yahoo Finance

Brazil's government debt is on track to end fall this year to 85% of gross domestic product and the government's budget deficit is heading below 3% of GDP, Economy Minister Paulo Guedes said on Monday.

In an online address to the 2021 Brazil Investment Forum shortly after the release of strong public finances figures for April, Guedes also said the economy was on a solid growth path and that Brazil was one of the most attractive destinations in the world for foreign investment. (Reporting by Jamie McGeever and Isabel Versiani; Editing by David Gregorio)

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Fitch Affirms Brazil at 'BB-'; Outlook Negative.

Fitch Rating


Brazil's ratings are supported by its large and diverse economy, high per capita income relative to peers and capacity to absorb external shocks underpinned by its flexible exchange rate, moderate external imbalances, robust international reserves and deep domestic government debt market. This is counterbalanced by Brazil's high financing needs and government indebtedness, a rigid fiscal structure, weak economic growth potential and a difficult political landscape that hampers timely progress on fiscal and economic reforms.

The Negative Outlook reflects risks to fiscal consolidation and economic recovery needed for medium-term public debt stabilization following the sharp deterioration in Brazil's fiscal accounts and public debt burden in 2020, particularly in light of the uncertain evolution of the pandemic, the vaccination process, and economic fallout. Public spending pressures persist and additional fiscal support to address the fallout from the pandemic cannot be ruled out. Continuing fiscal fragilities as well as shortened debt maturities make Brazil vulnerable to shocks.

Fitch forecasts GDP growth to reach 3.3% in 2021, after contracting by 4.1% in 2020 (BB median: -4.4%), before slowing to 2.5% in 2022. A strong statistical carryover as well as external factors including higher commodity prices and the rebound in global (and China) growth support growth in 2021. Tightening macroeconomic policies and uncertainties related to next year's election race could weigh on investment and growth in 2022. Downside risks stem from the uncertain evolution of the pandemic and potential delays in the vaccination process. Delays in vaccine supply from abroad and inputs for domestic vaccine production could postpone the authorities' timeline of vaccinating the vulnerable population by the end of 2Q21 and a substantial portion of the entire population by yearend. Any loss of confidence in the trajectory of public finances could also undermine the recovery.

Inflationary pressures have increased significantly, with IPCA inflation surging to 6.8% in April from a nadir of 1.9% in May 2020. Higher commodity and food prices, and a weak (albeit recently appreciating) BRL have put pressure on prices. Inflation is expected to exceed the target of 3.75% in 2021. After cutting the Selic interest to a historically low of 2% in 2020, the central bank has reversed course by hiking rates by 150 bps (with more in the pipeline) since March 2021 to fight price pressures and to prevent a deterioration of inflation expectations.

Fiscal challenges persist with the general government (GG) deficit reaching around 14% of GDP in 2020 compared with 7.2% for the 'BB' median. Fitch forecasts the GG deficit to remain relatively large at 7.4% of GDP in 2021 (BB median: -5.2%). The reduction in the deficit will be underpinned by the recovery in revenues as well as partial withdrawal of the 2020 fiscal support. The possibility of further extension of pandemic-related spending represents a downside risk to our fiscal projections for 2021. Sharper-than-expected increases in the sovereign's borrowing costs could also weigh on consolidation prospects. The recent Supreme Court ruling on the exclusion of ICMS taxes from the calculation of the PIS/COFINS tax base that is levied by the federal government would further weigh on Brazil's public finances over the medium term.

While Fitch expects the government to comply with the spending cap this year, we highlight that over BRL100 billion (over 1% of GDP) of COVID-19-related temporary spending will remain outside the cap. Even with the exclusion of such spending, the government will face challenges to comply with the cap. As part of the agreement on the 2021 budget, the government cut discretionary spending to extremely low levels to make room for some congressional spending amendments, which will severely constrain flexibility during budget execution. Pressure to create new social programs for coming years persists and potential addition of such spending commitments without offsetting measures could increase budgetary rigidities.

Brazil's general government debt burden reached 88.8% of GDP in 2020, which was significantly higher than the current 'BB' median of 59.3%. However, the decline in the central government interest-to-GDP ratio to 3.6% of GDP in 2020 from 4.2% in 2019, has supported affordability. Despite the large fiscal deficit in 2021, Fitch forecasts the debt/GDP ratio to dip slightly to 86.8% due to temporary factors such as the significant prepayment by the BNDES development bank of its loans from the Treasury for BRL100 billion (1.2% of projected GDP) and high nominal GDP growth. Debt is expected to climb modestly thereafter. A slower economic recovery and fiscal adjustment as well as higher sovereign borrowing costs are the main downside risks.

Brazil's large funding needs and shortened debt maturities make it vulnerable to shocks. Debt maturities amount to BRL1.35 trillion (around 17% of GDP) in 2021. But a diverse domestic institutional investor base and its domestic bias mitigates rollover risks. Moreover, the Treasury's liquidity buffer reached BRL1.1 trillion (around 14% of forecast 2021 GDP) in March, which gives it flexibility to remain out of the domestic markets for several months. However, a de-anchoring of fiscal expectations might worsen domestic borrowing conditions.

Brazil's government has resumed its economic reform agenda in 2021. It secured the approval of the central bank autonomy law and laws to upgrade the regulatory frameworks for the sanitation and gas sectors. Congress also passed a 'fiscal emergency' constitutional amendment that would give the government the power to invoke certain spending adjustments should federal government's mandatory spending exceed 95% of the total primary spending, although this threshold is unlikely to be reached in the coming years. The Lower House has recently approved the legislation to privatize Eletrobras, paving the way for the bill to be discussed in the Senate.

A tax reform to simplify the complex system and a public sector reform to contain payroll costs over the medium term and improve public sector efficiency have been submitted to congress. However, it is unclear how much reform progress is possible given vested lobbies, fluidity of the congressional dynamics, and uncertainty around the pandemic. The window of opportunity to pass reforms could close by early 2022 as the focus shifts towards next year's presidential and congressional elections.

Brazil's current account deficit (CAD) shrank to less than 2% of GDP in 2020 from 3.5% in 2019 and despite its fall, FDI continued to fully finance the CAD. Fitch expects the CAD to shrink further in 2021 due to a surge in the trade surplus, underpinned by higher exports that will benefit from higher global (and China) growth and commodity prices. Brazil's international reserves remain strong at around USD350 billion despite FX spot sales in 2020-2021.

The banking system's adequate capitalization, modest non-performing loans ratio and continued credit growth highlight its resilience to the economic fallout from the pandemic.

ESG - Governance: Brazil has an ESG Relevance Score (RS) of '5' for both Political Stability and Rights and for the Rule of Law, Institutional and Regulatory Quality and Control of Corruption, as is the case for all sovereigns. These scores reflect the high weight that the World Bank Governance Indicators (WBGI) have in our proprietary Sovereign Rating Model. Brazil has a medium WBGI percentile ranking of 44%, reflecting a recent track record of peaceful political transitions even amid heightened political uncertainty, a moderate level of rights for participation in the political process, moderate institutional capacity, established rule of law and a high level of corruption.

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Bitcoin sangrou em maio, mas ainda sobe 31% em 2021; compare opções para investir.

Valor Investe
Rafael Gregorio

Os últimos meses foram de fortes emoções para quem investe em criptomoedasEm maio, até o dia 26, a principal delas, o bitcoin, viu sua cotação diminuir de US$ 55 mil (R$ 292,1 mil) para US$ 30 mil (R$ 159,3 mil). No pior momento, caiu mais de 10% em um dia.

Depois, a pioneira entre as criptomoedas, com cerca de 60% do valor de todo o ecossistema cripto (que inclui quase 10 mil criptomoedas), recuperou-se e passou a ser negociada em torno de US$ 38 mil (R$ 201 mil) até o fim da semana passada.

A principal razão foi o recuo da Tesla, do bilionário Elon Musk, na decisão de aceitar bitcoins na venda de seus carros elétricos. O motivo foi um temor ambiental: Musk teria afinal se dado conta de que o bitcoin consome muita energia de combustíveis fósseis na checagem de suas transações, chamada de mineração, e isso teria incomodado acionistas da empresa, cujo mote é a energia limpa.

  • Mas pesaram também as ameaças ao bitcoin feitas pelo banco central da China e as sinalizações da SEC, a autoridade reguladora dos Estados Unidos (equivalente à Comissão de Valores Mobiliários, a CVM, no Brasil), de que não vai autorizar novas modalidades de aplicação em criptos em breve.

Volatilidade atrai novos investidores

Antes dessa fase ruim, o bitcoin vinha na lua, como dizem os entusiastas. A criptomoeda viu o preço disparar de US$ 10 mil (R$ 53,1 mil) em outubro para US$ 65 mil (R$ 345,2 mil) em abril, no embalo de uma onda de adesão de investidores institucionais. Companhias americanas, como MicroStrategy e Square, anunciaram que haviam aplicado parte de seus caixas em bitcoin, o PayPal o integrou à plataforma e gestores de grandes fundos incluíram criptomoedas nas sugestões à clientela.

Já em 2021, vieram as notícias de que a Tesla havia comprado US$ 1,5 bilhão (R$ 8 bilhões) em bitcoins no ano passado e de que passaria a aceitar o ativo digital na venda dos carros. E, em abril, a Coinbase, mais popular plataforma de negociação nos EUA, virou a primeira empresa do setor a ter ações na Nasdaq.

Nessa montanha-russa, o bitcoin caiu 34% no último mês, mas ainda sobe 31% neste ano e impressionantes 313% nos últimos 12 meses.

A volatilidade e o potencial de ganhos vêm atraindo investidores. No Brasil, as pesquisas no Google pelo termo “bitcoin” subiram quase 500% nos últimos 12 meses. Exchanges e fundos vêm ampliando a clientela, e estima-se que mais de 3 milhões de pessoas invistam em criptoativosUm único fundo lançado em março pela gestora Hashdex já captou mais de R$ 1,1 bilhão.

P2P, exchanges, fundos, ETF

As principais opções para investir são a negociação entre particulares (P2P), as exchanges, os fundos de investimento e, mais recentemente, um ETF, como são chamados os fundos que espelham índices e são negociados em bolsas de valores.

Seja qual for o meio usado, especialistas lembram que esta é uma classe de ativos de alto risco, na qual ninguém deveria aplicar muito de suas economias. “Para quem está começando, recomendo no máximo entre 2% e 3%. E, para perfis agressivos, no máximo 6%”, diz Thales Inada, especialista em criptoativos da casa de análises Spiti.

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Recuo de Musk em vender carros com moedas virtuais acentua risco das criptomoedas.

Folha de São Paulo
Júlia Moura

Simples tuítes de Elon Musk, presidente da Tesla, chacoalharam o mundo das criptomoedas nos últimos meses. Em março, ele disse que a fabricante de carros elétricos aceitaria bitcoin, a mais conhecida das moedas digitais, como pagamento, o que levou toda a classe de ativos a se valorizar. Em maio, voltou atrás, devido ao grande gasto energético no processamento de bitcoins, derrubando o mercado.

Segundo analistas, estas e outras muitas manifestações do bilionário em suas redes sociais são mais um ingrediente para a alta volatilidade das criptomoedas.

“É como um elefante entrando em uma piscina, causa um grande movimento quando entra e quando sai. O Musk voltar atrás tem muito impacto. Quando alguém importante deserta, gera dúvida nos investidores”, diz Fabrício Tota, diretor de novos negócios do Mercado Bitcoin.

No último dia 19, Musk indicou que a Tesla ainda tem bitcoins em seu caixa, comprados em fevereiro pelo valor de US$ 1,5 bilhão (R$ 7,8 bilhões), o que impulsionou a recuperação das criptomoedas. Naquele pregão, porém, o bitcoin chegou a cair até 30% pela manhã.

“Esses ativos ainda tem uma reatividade muito alta, que pode representar um risco grande para o investidor”, diz Sérgio Franco, diretor de renda variável da Órama.

A oscilação surgiu depois que o banco central da China alertou as instituições financeiras contra aceitarem criptomoedas em pagamento e contra oferecerem serviços e produtos relacionados a elas, o que intensificou a preocupação dos investidores de que as autoridades podem apertar a fiscalização dessa classe de ativos que opera quase sem controle.

O objetivo, segundo o Comitê de Desenvolvimento e Estabilidade Financeira, é evitar riscos financeiros.

Em abril, o banco central da Turquia proibiu o uso de criptomoedas e ativos criptográficos para compras, citando possíveis “danos irreparáveis” e riscos nas transações, depois que a Royal Motors, que distribui carros Rolls-Royce e Lotus na Turquia, se tornou a primeira empresa no país a aceitar pagamentos em criptomoedas.

“As restrições da China às criptomoedas estão se expandindo e isso deixa muitos investidores receosos de que esse pânico nas vendas continue. Parece uma queda típica e passageira, mas pode haver resistência para a retomada”, afirma Edward Moya, analista de mercado financeiro da corretora de câmbio Oanda em Nova York.

Para adicionar ainda mais tensão ao mercado, o presidente do Fed (banco central dos Estados Unidos), Jerome Powell, falou sobre os potenciais riscos relacionados a criptomoedas no dia 21.

Ele também disse que o Fed lançará um documento de discussão sobre criptomoedas nos próximos meses para servir de base à consulta pública sobre a criação de uma moeda digital do banco central -o BC brasileiro estuda fazer o mesmo em 2022.

“Até o momento as criptomoedas não têm servido como uma forma conveniente de fazer pagamentos, devido, entre outros fatores, a suas oscilações de valor”, disse Powell.

As declarações vieram poucas horas depois de o Tesouro dos EUA propor novos regulamentos sobre o uso de bitcoin.

No dia 24, foi a vez do presidente do BC britânico falar sobe as criptomoedas. “Francamente, sou cético em relação aos criptoativos porque eles são perigosos, e há um grande entusiasmo por aí”, disse Andrew Bailey ao Comitê do Tesouro do Parlamento britânico.

Na última quinta, 27, o Irã proibiu a mineração de criptomoedas por quatro meses, já que a atividade, que requer uso intensivo de energia, causou blecautes de eletricidade em todo o país.

Em maio, o bitcoin acumula queda de 36,80% até sexta, 28, a US$ 35.218 (R$ 183.591) cada um, após uma disparada de 776,6% de abril de 2020 a abril de 2021.

Foi justamente a entrada de investidores institucionais no mercado que fez as criptomoedas saltarem nos últimos anos e, agora, as barreiras regulatórias podem ameaçar este movimento.

Há investidores que veem, porém, a desvalorização como uma oportunidade de entrada.

“As perspectivas e fundamentos que fazem o bitcoin um bom investimento seguem os mesmos”, diz Fabrício Tota, diretor de novos negócios do Mercado Bitcoin, plataforma de negociação de criptoativos.

Segundo ele, o investidor tem que pensar no longo prazo. “Ainda tem muito pouco dinheiro nessa indústria e o bitcoin é limitado. Vemos um potencial de investidores institucionais entrarem com força, o que deve valorizar o ativo”.

O bitcoin é finito e sua emissão está perto do fim. Na sua criação, estabeleceu-se que podem haver apenas 21 milhões de bitcoins, e já foram emitidos cerca de 90%.

Especialistas alertam, porém, que é preciso estudar a natureza das criptomoedas antes de se alocar recursos nelas.

“Simplesmente comprar porque caiu é como pegar uma faca em queda, pode dar certo, mas a chance de se machucar é grande. Só deve entrar neste mercado se tem uma razão por trás”, diz Franco, da Órama.

A dica é minimizar aportes, comprando aos poucos, reduzindo o risco, com alocações periódicas, sem tentar acertar o melhor momento de entrada.

“Primeiro o investidor tem que ter calma. Não colocar o dinheiro que vai precisar no curto prazo e nem mais do que consegue arriscar”, afirma Tota.

A alocação é indicada para investidores com o perfil mais arriscado. A quantidade ideal depende de cada investidor e de seu momento de vida, mas não deve ultrapassar 10% na carteira dos investidores mais aptos a correr risco.

“Primeiro, entenda exatamente qual é a proposta de valor daquele daquela moeda, se ela faz sentido, qual que é o seu diferencial, a razão de ela ser valiosa, qual que é o potencial de valorização de mercado”, diz Nélio Costa, planejador financeiro pela Planejar.

O especialista recomenda investir indiretamente em criptomoedas, por meio de fundos ou ETFs (fundos de índice).

“Um gestor vai montar uma cesta das moedas mais sólidas. Você terceiriza essa tomada de decisão para uma pessoa que passa o dia inteiro fazendo só isso e provavelmente vai ter um conhecimento melhor do que o seu”, afirma Costa.

Além disso, as cotas de fundos ou ETFs podem ser adquiridos por meio das corretoras tradicionais em negociação na Bolsa de Valores. Já as criptomoedas são vendidas em outras plataformas de negociação, como o Mercado Bitcoin.

Golpes com bitcoin

Por serem relativamente novos no mercado e não serem regulados pela CVM (Comissão de Valores Mobiliários), os criptoativos são utilizados por muitos criminosos na aplicação de golpe.

“É preciso tomar muito cuidado com empresas que prometem ganhos garantidos. É impossível qualquer mercado garantir rentabilidade. Foge, é golpe”, diz Costa.

O investidor deve ter atenção extra na hora do aporte e pesquisar a fundo a reputação empresa na qual se faz a compra do ativo.

“As criptos são negociadas em exchanges, que são como pequenas Bolsas. Dessa forma, é preciso ter cuidado para não cair em pirâmide”, diz Franco, da Órama.

Recentemnte nos EUA, golpistas fingindo ser Elon Musk roubaram milhões de dólares em fraudes com criptomoedas.

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Em meio ao ‘pior mês’ do bitcoin desde 2011, exchanges de criptomoeda captam US$ 2 trilhões em maio.

Seu Dinheiro
Renan Sousa

As exchanges de criptomoedas conseguiram um feito impressionante em maio: acumular o volume de US$ 2 trilhões pela primeira vez na história.

De acordo com dados do portal The Block, esse foi o quarto mês seguido em que as corretoras de cripto viram um valor acima dos US$ 1 trilhão, como mostra o The Block Legitimate Index.

Esse recorde ocorre em um momento difícil para o mundo das criptomoedas. Alguns analistas do Market Watch chegam a dizer que esse é o pior mês para o bitcoin (BTC) desde 2011.

Entre setembro e outubro daquele ano, o preço do bitcoin caiu em pouco mais de 37%.

Considerando o início e o fim de maio, a principal criptomoeda do mercado viu seu preço cair de US$ 57.362 para US$ 36.804, uma queda de mais de 37%.  Desde seu pico, aos US$ 65 mil, o bitcoin já encolheu em pouco mais de 45%.

Nas últimas 24h, o bitcoin registra alta de 4,36%, aos US$ 36.868,60. Já o HAS11, o fundo de índice em criptomoedas da B3, também avança 2,54%, cotado a R$ 36,38.


Nas últimas semanas, as notícias não deram descanso para o mundo das criptomoedas. A primeira veio com Elon Musk afirmando que a Tesla deixaria de receber pagamentos em bitcoin, levantando a questão ambiental. Depois, a China ameaçou a mineração de criptomoedas e implementou leis na Mongólia Interior para restringir a atividade.

Irã também proibiu mineração em seu território, após o país registrar uma série de apagões devido ao alto consumo de energia elétrica. Todos esses fatos contribuíram para a queda da criptomoeda e não deixam o valor voltar ao patamar de US$ 40 mil, apesar das notícias que jogam a favor.

As altcoins

Nem só de bitcoin vive o mercado. As altcoins, moedas alternativas ao bitcoin, estão operando com um desempenho acima da principal criptomoeda do mercado. 

De acordo com um levantamento feito pela BitcoinTrade, as altcoins registraram crescimento de 250%. O volume de negociações com altcoins atingiu os R$ 350 milhões em abril de 2021, e só tende a crescer.

E isso se reflete na dominância do bitcoin. Em março deste ano, a principal criptomoeda do mercado correspondia a 69% do mercado. Atualmente, o número está em 44,05%, o que abre espaço para outras moedas crescerem.

Dando nomes

Para começar, a XRP (XRP) desponta com nas altas, avançando mais de 13% por volta das 11h, atingindo os US$ 0,99. A Ripple, empresa por trás da criptomoeda, estava em uma disputa judicial com a SEC, a CVM americana, sobre movimentações suspeitas em criptoativos. 

Entretanto, a SEC não conseguiu ter acesso a documentos sigilosos da Ripple e provar que a movimentação foi ilegal. Sendo assim, o caso foi arquivado, o que deu margem para a criptomoeda crescer no mercado. Confira aqui o desempenho da XRP e de outras 5 moedas que cresceram mais que o bitcoin no primeiro trimestre. 

A cardano (ADA) também está entre as altas mais relevantes dos últimos dias. Durante o final de semana, a criptomoeda chegou a disparar mais de 13%, após o anúncio de que a plataforma teria uma atualização, adicionando contratos inteligentes ao projeto. 

Na manhã desta segunda-feira (31), a ADA avançava mais modestamente, 2,07%, aos US$ 1,65.

A cardano surgiu como uma criptomoeda para competir com o Ethereum (ETH), mas até essa última atualização, não conseguiu animar os investidores. Com a possibilidade de acrescentar contratos inteligentes, ela se torna mais competitiva com o éter. 

Por falar nele, a segunda principal criptomoeda do mercado também está em um bom momento. Por volta das 11h30, o ethereum avançava 7,47%, cotado a US$ $2.522,11. Por mais as ethereum killers (projetos criados para “matar o ethereum”) avancem, o ETH ainda é visto com bons olhos pelos investidores institucionais.

Sempre vale lembrar que os especialistas indicam que o investimento em criptomoedas é altamente arriscado, e recomendam cautela e estudo antes de colocar dinheiro em algum projeto.

Acesse a notícia original AQUI